Quick Quiz: Are you competent to understand genomic tests?
Solve this simple math question.
Statistics and disease risks are invented for this exercise!
1% of people will have Hubbub Disease by age 70. Up to 80% of people with Disease will get positive HEBOT mutation tests. 9.6% of people without Hubbub Disease will also get positive HEBOT mutation tests. A patient had a positive HEBOT mutation test in genomic screening. What is the probability that patient will have Hubbub Disease by age 70?
The correct answer is about 68.1%. If you got this, good job, you’re qualified, click here.
If you got a different answer or need an explanation, click here.
note: updated to be even more nonsensical to avoid confusion. Thanks, neandrothal.
Josh: For those interested, I wrote a paper for a class 2 years ago applying Bayes Theorum to medicine. It’s moderately related to the post.
Think Gene at Technorati
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